Liverpool’s Title Race Is the Premier League Crown Already Theirs?

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Liverpool’s dominant performance against Manchester City has sparked a growing belief among their jubilant fans that the Premier League title is all but secured. As the final whistle echoed through the Etihad Stadium, a chorus of “We’re going to win the league” resonated among Liverpool supporters, reinforcing the reality that they now hold an 11-point lead at the top of the table.

While the season is yet to be mathematically decided, the sheer consistency of Arne Slot’s squad suggests that this campaign is reaching an inevitable conclusion. Liverpool’s seamless transition under Slot following Jurgen Klopp’s tenure has only strengthened their claim to English football’s most coveted prize.

Liverpool’s Unstoppable Charge Toward Glory

Four Liverpool players in red home kits celebrating and discussing on the field against a bold red background with a star pattern, featuring the "GOALS GLORY" logo in the top right corner.

With Arsenal faltering and Manchester City unable to keep pace, Liverpool’s latest triumph extends their dominance in the title race. The 2-0 victory over City, coupled with Arsenal’s unexpected defeat against West Ham, has left their closest competitors with little hope of overturning the deficit.

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Etihad Stadium, which has been the backdrop for many title celebrations under Pep Guardiola, now witnessed a different narrative—Liverpool fans urging their rivals to “hand it over.” Their confidence is well-founded, considering Liverpool has suffered just one league defeat all season, a home loss to Nottingham Forest in September. With 11 games left, seven at Anfield, history favours the Reds.

A Lead That History Supports

Despite Slot’s cautious response—acknowledging the unpredictability of English football—past Premier League campaigns indicate that Liverpool’s lead is near insurmountable. The only comparable instance was Manchester United’s 11-point lead over Arsenal in March 1998, which they eventually surrendered. However, Liverpool’s resilience and Arsenal’s struggles under pressure suggest a different outcome this time.

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While refraining from directly conceding the title, Guardiola subtly acknowledged the reality by questioning how many games Liverpool had lost and how many points they had over Arsenal. His gesture of congratulating Slot and shaking hands with every Liverpool player at full-time was a sign of his recognition of their dominance.

Statistical Supremacy: Liverpool’s Metrics Speak Volumes
Liverpool’s 2024-25 Premier League Stats:

Stat CategoryValueRank
Goals per game2.371st
Shots per game16.71st
Shot conversion rate14.2%3rd
Expected goals per game2.231st
Big chances per game4.01st
Average Possession56.6%4th

Beyond their lead at the top of the table, Liverpool’s statistical superiority further cements their status as title favourites. Slot’s tactical system has propelled the Reds to the top of key metrics, including:

  • Most goals scored (64)
  • Most shots taken (452)
  • Most shots on target (173)

At the heart of this success is Mohamed Salah, whose influence continues to grow. The Egyptian forward, who netted his 30th goal of the season before assisting Dominik Szoboszlai’s strike against City, has reached the milestone of 30+ goals in five separate campaigns for Liverpool. With 21 assists in his name, Salah contributed to an astonishing 51 goals before February’s end.

Overcoming Past Setbacks Against City

Historically, Liverpool has struggled away at Manchester City, winning only one of their previous 15 Premier League encounters before this latest triumph. The victory at the Etihad extends their advantage in the title race and exorcises past disappointments against Guardiola’s side, who have twice denied Liverpool the title in tight finishes.

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While there are still matches to play, Liverpool’s dominance this season suggests that the title procession is merely a matter of time.

Slot’s Tactical Evolution: Business-Like Efficiency

A close-up of a bald man smiling against a red background with star patterns, featuring the word "REACTION" in bold green letters and the "GOALS GLORY" logo in the top right corner.

Liverpool may no longer embody the high-octane “heavy metal football” of Klopp’s era, but Slot has added an efficiency that makes them even more formidable. Against City, they recorded just 33.9% possession, their lowest in a Premier League win since Opta began tracking such data in 2003-04. However, despite City’s more shots and attacking movements, Liverpool’s defensive structure nullified any considerable threat.

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As former England goalkeeper Joe Hart noted, “Liverpool executed a proper business-like performance. They had a plan for every City threat, neutralized it, and dominated where they needed to.”

The Final Countdown to Liverpool’s Triumph

With their tactical discipline, goal-scoring prowess, and unwavering mentality, Liverpool appears destined to reclaim the Premier League crown. The red ribbons may not yet be tied onto the trophy, but barring an extraordinary twist, the celebrations are only a matter of when—not if.

REALATED TOPICS: Liverpool | Virgil van Dijk | Champions League | Premier League Transfer News |

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